Eliminating Incoherence from Subjective Estimates of Chance by Spiridon Tsavachidis A
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چکیده
Eliminating Incoherence from Subjective Estimates of Chance
منابع مشابه
Eliminating Incoherence from Subjective Estimates of Chance
Human judgment is an essential source of Bayesian probabilities but is plagued by incoherence when complex or conditional events are involved. We consider a method for adjusting estimates of chance over Boolean events so as to render them probabilistically coherent. The method works by searching for a sparse distribution that approximates a target set of judgments. (We show that sparse distribu...
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تاریخ انتشار 2003